Dalam rangka menindaklanjuti Workshop IndoTERM model sebagai alat analisis konektivitas di Indonesia yang telah diselenggarakan pada hari Rabu / 15 Agustus 2012 bertempat di Aryaduta Hotel. CEDS (Center for Economics and Development Studies) bekerjasama kembali dengan ADB (Asean Development Bank) dan BAPPENAS (Badan Perencanaan dan Pembangunan Nasional) telah menyelenggarakan Worshop on Modelling Connectivity with IndoTERM CGE Model pada hari Senin-Selasa / 22-23 Oktober 2012 bertempat di Bandung, Jawa Barat. Training ini bertujuan untuk memaksimalkan peningkatan konektivitas nasional melalui simulasi model IndoTERM dan diikuti oleh 29 orang staf/analis dari Badan Perencanaan dan Pembangunan Nasional (BAPPENAS), Kementerian Perhubungan (KEMEN HUB), Kementerian Pekerjaan Umum (KEMEN PU), Kementerian Koordinasi Bidang Perekonomian (KEMENKO PEREKONOMIAN), Kementerian Keuangan (KEMEN KEU) dan Badan Informasi Geospasial (BIG).
Indonesia is one of the largest archipelagos that has undergone rapid economic progress yet still left big inter-regional disparity. The large gap in the development outcomes among regions coupled with widening income gap between the rich and the poor have raised serious concern over the quality of the economic growth the country has achieved. MP3EI program, for example, is among many important directives that the current government initiated.
Attempt to improve inter-regional economic equality require not only understanding the different economic characteristics of each specific region, but also how all regions connect among each other through trade and factors of production mobility. The complexity of such relationship require an economic tool that integrate both theoretically consistent framework of how Indonesian economy including its different regions work as well as information and data which is consistent with the economic theories and how interaction among economic agents and regions in a real world. An inter-regional computable general equilibrium model is an analytical tool that can help analyze various issue of inter-relationship among regions that are both has consistency in economic theory and empirical data. IndoTERM model is one of the class of such model developed last year in ADB yet has not been fully utilized in the policy making arena.
Day 1: Monday, 22 October 2012
|Getting to know the software package: Gempack, solution algorithm, installation, the use of various programs, running diagnostic simulations
|IndoTERM: the basic concept, theoretical foundation, and assumptions
|Opening the ‘black box’: understanding the equations of IndoTERM
|IndoTERM data system and its construction
Day 2: Tuesday, 23 October 2012
|Formulating scenarios for IndoTERM simulations and preparation for running the model
|Guided simulations 1: Regional impact of national policy or economic shocks
|Guided simulations 2: Economy-wide impact of regions specific shocks
|Guided simulations 3: Improving connectivity